Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.631453 2.771952 2.918410 3.082920 3.263106 3.455080 3.675895
2025-11-09 2.355948 2.552804 2.767882 3.022089 3.316696 3.650344 4.061128
2025-11-16 2.190437 2.417271 2.672883 2.985638 3.362794 3.809455 4.388766
2025-11-23 2.093992 2.345363 2.635901 3.001875 3.458606 4.021446 4.787371
2025-11-30 2.012210 2.281351 2.599031 3.009143 3.536358 4.209408 5.166631
2025-12-07 1.904642 2.178224 2.506059 2.936942 3.503209 4.245790 5.339007
2025-12-14 1.817385 2.094342 2.430682 2.879895 3.482194 4.291891 5.523563
2025-12-21 1.758437 2.041876 2.390724 2.864291 3.512467 4.406816 5.815892
2025-12-28 1.705259 1.993682 2.352974 2.848023 3.538648 4.515217 6.106897
2026-01-04 1.666494 1.961680 2.333881 2.854508 3.595206 4.669809 6.486180
2026-01-11 1.636477 1.939279 2.325676 2.874357 3.670617 4.856782 6.940411
2026-01-18 1.603450 1.911358 2.308449 2.879946 3.724352 5.013252 7.361288
2026-01-25 1.556854 1.865123 2.266284 2.850363 3.726977 5.094211 7.668582
2026-02-01 1.504104 1.809171 2.209058 2.796773 3.690223 5.108881 7.855921
2026-02-08 1.462439 1.766546 2.168265 2.764632 3.683876 5.172359 8.146176
2026-02-15 1.439429 1.748090 2.159827 2.778952 3.750473 5.364490 8.727534
2026-02-22 1.415270 1.727112 2.146805 2.785361 3.804129 5.538166 9.301993
2026-03-01 1.369846 1.675658 2.089035 2.721648 3.739315 5.492804 9.379918
2026-03-08 1.330976 1.632213 2.041294 2.671223 3.693592 5.478638 9.528315
2026-03-15 1.305626 1.606715 2.018233 2.657417 3.707813 5.576606 9.960867
2026-03-22 1.281374 1.582054 1.995516 2.643017 3.719859 5.670976 10.403354
2026-03-29 1.264336 1.566974 1.986078 2.648759 3.766496 5.836452 11.066728
2026-04-05 1.251550 1.557460 1.984322 2.666323 3.834505 6.050966 11.919651